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Economic Calendar

UTC

All High only US EU China Crypto

TODAY Sat · 09 May 2026 4 events

12:30UTC

🇺🇸Non-Farm Payrolls

Forecast175k

Prev187k

Actual+212k

14:30UTC

🇺🇸 CPI (YoY) LIVE

Forecast2.8%

Prev2.9%

Actual—

16:00UTC

🇺🇸FOMC member Bostic speech

Hawkish odds62%

Prev toneneutral

—

22:00UTC

🇨🇳PBoC liquidity ops

Forecast¥190B

Prev¥210B

—

Sun · 10 May 2 events

01:30UTC

🇨🇳CPI (YoY)

Forecast0.5%

Prev0.4%

—

14:00UTC

🇪🇺ECB Lagarde testimony

Hawkish odds48%

Prev tonedovish

—

Mon · 11 May 3 events

12:30UTC

🇺🇸PPI (MoM)

Forecast0.3%

Prev0.2%

—

14:30UTC

🇪🇺ZEW Economic Sentiment

Forecast34.2

Prev32.1

—

17:00UTC

🪙SEC ETH ETF deadline

Approval odds71%

Polymarket↗

—

Wed · 13 May 2 events

18:00UTC

🇺🇸FOMC Minutes

Cut odds34%

Prev tonehawkish

—

23:00UTC

🇯🇵BoJ Summary of Opinions

Forecast—

Prevdovish

—

∿

Regime Card

refreshed 28s ago · auto 1m

BTC Dominance 56.4% ▲ +0.8 pp / 24h alt-season index 28 · majors-led tape

Funding 24h avg +0.012% neutral

Liquidations 24h $342M ↓ shorts

ETF flow · 5d +$612M ↑ inflows · 4 of 5d

Stablecoin Δ · 24h +$420M ↑ supply

⌘

Event Stream

layers MACRO + ON-CHAIN SSE p50 142ms

Layer Time Event Symbol Value Detail

MACRO 18:42:06 funding_extreme · OI-weighted ₿BTC +0.058% Bybit · top decile

ONCH 18:30:55 etf_flow · daily print ₿BTC +$187M 5d streak · IBIT lead

MACRO 17:15:00 session_open · NY equities — — SPX 5240 · DXY 104.2

ONCH 16:42:18 stablecoin_flow · mint detected TUSDT +$420M Treasury · 24h supply Δ

MACRO 15:58:42 btc_dominance_shift · 1h crossed 56.0 ₿BTC.D 56.4% +0.8 pp / 24h

ONCH 15:42:11 cex_flow · net outflow 1h ₿BTC −$118M Coinbase + Kraken

MACRO 14:30:00 cpi_release · US YoY — pending fcst 2.8% · prev 2.9%

ONCH 13:55:30 whale_transfer · cold deposit ₿BTC 2 230 BTC → cold storage

MACRO 13:18:21 dxy_breakout · daily resistance DXY 104.18 +0.42% / 1d

ONCH 12:30:08 nfp_release · beat fcst USD +212k fcst 175k

MACRO 11:48:55 regime_shift · RISK_OFF → RISK_ON — +0.71 4 of 5 conditions met

ONCH 10:22:14 mvrv_z · hourly ₿BTC 2.4 below euphoria

◇

Polymarket

crypto markets refreshed 1m ago

sorted by 24h volume·top 6 of 28

Will BTC reach $150K by Dec 31?

YES 23%−4 pp

NO 77%+4 pp

7d odds — YES

Vol 24h $1.4M · Liq $8.2M BTC EOY-26

SEC approves spot ETH ETF by 11 May?

YES 71%+3 pp

NO 29%−3 pp

7d odds — YES

Vol 24h $890k · Liq $4.1M ETH SEC

Fed cuts in June FOMC?

YES 34%−12 pp

NO 66%+12 pp

7d odds — YES

Vol 24h $640k · Liq $3.8M FOMC macro

SOL closes above $200 in May?

YES 42%+1 pp

NO 58%−1 pp

7d odds — YES

Vol 24h $412k · Liq $2.1M SOL May-26

Crypto-linked exec order signed by 30 Jun?

YES 18%±0

NO 82%±0

7d odds — YES

Vol 24h $284k · Liq $1.4M policy USA

HYPE in top-10 by mkt cap on 31 May?

YES 54%+8 pp

NO 46%−8 pp

7d odds — YES

Vol 24h $210k · Liq $960k HYPE May-26